Modelling the determinants of birth tourism demand: a time series analysis


Solarin S. A., Bello M. O., Lasisi T. T., BEKUN F. V.

Current Issues in Tourism, vol.28, no.7, pp.1116-1134, 2025 (SSCI) identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 28 Issue: 7
  • Publication Date: 2025
  • Doi Number: 10.1080/13683500.2024.2325481
  • Journal Name: Current Issues in Tourism
  • Journal Indexes: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus, ABI/INFORM, Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA), CAB Abstracts, Geobase, Hospitality & Tourism Complete, Hospitality & Tourism Index, PAIS International, Veterinary Science Database
  • Page Numbers: pp.1116-1134
  • Keywords: Birth tourism, Citizenship Amendment Act, dynamic autoregressive distributed lag, New Zealand, tourism demand model
  • Istanbul Gelisim University Affiliated: Yes

Abstract

Birth tourism has been steadily rising in recent years as potential mothers travel across borders with the main purpose of giving birth. However, the economic reasons behind this form of tourism have not been adequately examined in the existing literature. This study explores the determinants of birth tourism by incorporating factors such as the average income of visitors, price level, exchange rate, and infant mortality while accounting for the potential impact of the Citizenship Amendment Act 2005 in New Zealand. The variables have been introduced into the model using a standard tourism demand framework and a new dynamic autoregressive distributed lag method has been used in the study. Ultimately, rising income of visitors and exchange rate are reported to boost birth tourism while rising price reduces birth tourism. The result also shows that the implementation of the Citizenship Amendment Act 2005 has no significant effect on birth tourism, which implies that monetary and financial considerations such as the income of tourists, price level, and exchange are the most important drivers of birth tourism in New Zealand.