An Empirical Analysis for the Dynamics of Agricultural Production: The Case of Wheat


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Çelik O.

II. International Congress of Political, Economic, and Business Sciences, Sinop, Türkiye, 2 - 03 Aralık 2025, (Yayınlanmadı)

  • Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Yayınlanmadı
  • Basıldığı Şehir: Sinop
  • Basıldığı Ülke: Türkiye
  • İstanbul Gelişim Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Sustainability of agricultural production has become an essential condition to ensure within economic systems. In this context, it is an undeniable fact that determining the factors affecting agricultural production will contribute to sustainability. In line with the stated importance, the relationship between wheat production and various factors assumed to affect wheat production, which is an important component of agricultural production, represents the basic research scope of this study. In the analysis conducted for the period 1994-2021 for the Turkish economy, unit root test, ARDL Bounds test and Error Correction Model were used. According to the findings, wheat prices are an important determinant of wheat production and 1% change in prices increases wheat production by 1.03%. 1% increase in agricultural production land and carbon emissions provides an output increase as 0.87% and 0.15% respectively. In this context, prices have a critical effect on the sustainability of agricultural production. Therefore, in cases where market supply-demand conditions do not provide a profit that will protect the producers in the market, interventionist economic policies are primarily recommended.