Data-driven modeling and simulation of Caputo–Fabrizio fractional order shingles disease model


Khan A., Mukheimer A., Abdeljawad T., Thinakaran R.

AIMS Mathematics, cilt.11, sa.3, ss.5992-6018, 2026 (SCI-Expanded, Scopus) identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 11 Sayı: 3
  • Basım Tarihi: 2026
  • Doi Numarası: 10.3934/math.2026248
  • Dergi Adı: AIMS Mathematics
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, Directory of Open Access Journals
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.5992-6018
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Caputo–Fabrizio operator, Levenberg–Marquardt, neural networks, numerical method, shingles diseases, training fit
  • İstanbul Gelişim Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

This study deals with Caputo–Fabrizio (CF) fractional-order shingles disease model to capture the intrinsic memory and nonlocal properties that govern the progression of herpes zoster within a population. The model is organized into interacting epidemiological compartments and its mathematical soundness is confirmed by establishing both the existence and stability of results through fixed-point theory and fractional theory. To approximate the model behavior, a high accuracy numerical method based on the Lagrangian interpolation technique is constructed, allowing smooth reconstruction of fractional trajectories and robust behavior of nonlocal operators. Complementing this numerical context, an artificial neural network technique is used and trained using the Levenberg–Marquardt optimization algorithm, enabling efficient learning of disease patterns and authentication of numerical fidelity. Performance indicators, involving regression, training test, error histogram, and convergence features, confirm the reliability of the ANN-supported evaluation. The combined modeling, numerical, and computational analysis offers a comprehensive estimation of the fractional dynamics governing shingles transmission, presenting deeper insights into disease evolution and displaying the capacity of fractional operators and intelligent systems to enhance health risk predictive epidemiological modeling.