Akademik Veri Yönetim Sistemi
10. Uluslararası Orta Doğu Sempozyumu, İstanbul, Türkiye, 15 Mayıs 2026, (Yayınlanmadı)
This study investigates the short- and long-run relationships between economic growth, agricultural carbon emissions, agricultural production, and water stress in selected Middle Eastern countries (Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Saudi Arabia,Syria, and Türkiye) over the period 1992–2022. Panel data analysis shows that all variables are integrated of order one and cointegrated, indicating a stable long-term relationship. Using the FMOLS method, the results reveal that economic growth and water stress significantly increase agricultural carbon emissions, with a 1% rise in GDP increasing emissions by about 0.31% and a 1% increase in water stress raising emissions by approximately 0.53%. Wheat production has a positive but weak effect, while potato production is statistically insignificant.The findings suggest that agricultural intensification and water scarcity contribute to environmental degradation in the region, which is already highly vulnerable to climate change. The results highlight the environmental cost of economic growth and emphasize the need to decouple growth from emissions. In line with several Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), the study underscores the importance of efficient water management, climate-smart agricultural practices, and low-carbon development strategies to ensure long-term sustainability and economic resilience in Middle Eastern countries.