Akademik Veri Yönetim Sistemi
International Journal of Aerospace and Mechanical Engineering, cilt.19, sa.11, ss.1-10, 2025 (Scopus)
This study investigates the resilience of the Iranian logistics infrastructure against the June 2025 coordinated Israeli hybrid attacks on the energy, transport, and information sectors. Employing an innovative holistic approach with SCOR, SWOT, and PESTEL models, this study provides a comprehensive, multi-dimensional analysis of functional performance and systemic threat. The SCOR model quantitatively shows steep declines in key performance measures: forecast accuracy (−47.6%), supplier reliability (−40.9%), perfect order fulfillment (−54.7%), and return cycle time (+260%), identifying structural planning, sourcing, and delivery gaps. The SWOT matrix identifies internal weaknesses like infrastructure centralization, absence of real-time response mechanisms, and fragmented information systems, along with assets like industrial capacity and geostrategic position. The PESTEL analysis highlights external weaknesses in the form of political centralization, economic sanctions, technological underdevelopment, and the absence of legal regulations for managing emergency logistics. The combined SWOT–PESTEL matrix identifies critical intersections, such as those between centralized government and slow operational response, and technology fragmentation. Drawing analogies with Ukraine, Syria, and Yemen, the study positions Iran's resilience as structurally superior yet operationally poor. The final conceptual model outlines how collective operational, strategic, and environmental reforms—particularly digitalization, decentralization, and regional logistics diplomacy—are essential to enhancing resilience. This study offers the first data-informed, model-integrated framework for crisis logistics in developing economies and proposes actionable policy guidelines for strengthening national supply chain continuity against hybrid threats.